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EUR/JPY Price Analysis: Bears assert their dominance, push the pair the below 20-day SMA

  • The daily RSI has continued on its downward trajectory, backed by the rising red bards on the MACD.
  • Previously strong support at 20-day SMA has been breached, opening the potential for further bearish movements in the short term.
  • The existing bullish trend finds defense in the 100 and 200-day SMAs, around the 164.00 and 161.00 levels respectively.

In Tuesday's session, the EUR/JPY pair endured significant selling pressure pushing below the cross below the strong support level of the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 169.30, and touching a low of 168.50. Although this bearish movement puts a dampener on the outlook over the short term, the overall bullish outlook remains unaffected.

This shift in momentum aligns with the downward turn noted in the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI), which now stands at 46, compared to the higher reading of 61 in Monday's session. This indicates a loss in buying momentum, echoed by the daily Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) which exhibits increasing red bars.

EUR/JPY daily chart

Looking at the broader picture, despite the short-term bearishness, the lengthy bullish trend remains unaffected for the moment. The support given by the 100 and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) at 164.00 and 161.00 respectively will need to be broken in order to flip the table. Conversely, for the bulls to regain momentum, they will need to recapture the 169.30 region, which recently turned from support to resistance.

EUR/JPY

Overview
Today last price 168.54
Today Daily Change -1.64
Today Daily Change % -0.96
Today daily open 170.18
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 169.21
Daily SMA50 166.63
Daily SMA100 164.15
Daily SMA200 161.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 170.89
Previous Daily Low 169.72
Previous Weekly High 170.8
Previous Weekly Low 169.07
Previous Monthly High 170.8
Previous Monthly Low 164.02
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 170.17
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 170.44
Daily Pivot Point S1 169.64
Daily Pivot Point S2 169.09
Daily Pivot Point S3 168.46
Daily Pivot Point R1 170.81
Daily Pivot Point R2 171.44
Daily Pivot Point R3 171.98

 

 

United States API Weekly Crude Oil Stock came in at 4.052M, above expectations (-1.9M) in May 31

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