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6 Jan 2025

USD/JPY: Chance of a rate hike at the next MPC – OCBC

USD/JPY continued to hover near recent highs. BOJ Governor Ueda reiterated that BOJ will raise policy rate if economic conditions continue to improve this year. Pair was last seen trading at 157.63, OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

USD/JPY may face intermittent upward pressure

“He added that timing of rate adjustments will depend on the economy, inflation and financial conditions. He also highlighted that the momentum for wage hike is a key point when considering rate hikes. He has been putting a lot of focus on wages but avoided to hint at timing and pace of rate cut.”

“Chance of hike at the next MPC (24 Jan) is probably still live. But for now, the reluctance of BOJ and the guidance for Fed pause suggests that USD/JPY may continue to face intermittent upward pressure.”

“Bullish momentum on daily chart has faded but dip in RSI also moderated. Pair may consolidation for now until a new catalyst (or hint) comes along. Resistance at 158, 158.90 levels. Support at 156.67 (76.4% fibo retracement of Jul high to Sep low), 155.70 (21 DMA).”

Jan 6, 2025

CAD: Trudeau reportedly about to resign – ING

A media report is suggesting the Canada’s prime minister Justin Trudeau will resign as leader of the Liberal Party this week. That would not necessarily lead to early elections, as a leadership contest would take place to select a new prime minister.
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Jan 6, 2025

US President-elect Trump aides considering universal tariffs on critical imports – Washington Post

US President-elect Donald Trump's aides are considering tariffs that would be applied to every country but only cover critical imports, the Washington Post reported on Monday, per Reuters.
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