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24 Feb 2025

Oil: Speculators trim oil positions – ING

Oil prices sold off heavily on Friday, with ICE Brent settling 2.68% lower on the day and WTI briefly trading below US$70/bbl this morning for the first time this year, ING’s commodity analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey notes.

President Trump is calling on OPEC+ to increase supply

"Recent weakness in prices comes amid intensifying noise about where OPEC+ will take supply levels. The group is currently cutting supply by 2.2m b/d. It’s scheduled to bring this supply back onto the market gradually from April. However, there are suggestions that OPEC+ is considering a delay."

"Any delay would lead to a change in the oil balance, leaving the market relatively tighter than we expected. Any delay would also likely not go down well with President Trump, who’s calling on OPEC+ to increase supply."

"The latest positioning data suggests market sentiment turning negative, with speculators cutting positions in ICE Brent by 23,931 lots. This left them with a net long of 265,223 lots as of last Tuesday. Driving the move is a combination of longs being liquidating and fresh shorts entering the market. Trade and tariff concerns, along with a push for a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine, will weigh somewhat on the market."

Feb 24, 2025

EUR: Optimistic reaction to German vote – ING

The German election results were broadly in line with opinion polls. The CDU/CSU is the leading party with 29%, followed by the far-right AfD at 21% and the SPD at 16%.
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Feb 24, 2025

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a range between 1.2625 and 1.2680 – UOB Group

Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a range between 1.2625 and 1.2680.
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