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28 Feb 2025

USD/CNH: A small chance of testing 7.3100 in short term – UOB Group

US Dollar could test 7.3100 vs Chinese Yuan; a sustained break above this level seems unlikely. In the longer run, strong advance indicates there is potential for USD to rise to 7.3250, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

There is potential for USD to rise to 7.3250

24-HOUR VIEW: "When USD was at 7.2640 yesterday, we indicated that 'the current price movements are likely part of a range trading phase, probably between 7.2530 and 7.2750.' USD traded within our expected range until the NY session, when it lifted off and surged to a high of 7.3016. Conditions are deeply overbought, but provided that 7.2770 (minor support is at 7.2850) is not breached, USD could test 7.3100. A sustained break above this level seems unlikely today, and the major resistance at 7.3250 is also unlikely to come under trade."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We revised our USD view from negative to neutral yesterday (27 Feb, spot at 7.2640), indicating that 'downward momentum has largely faded.' We also indicated that USD 'has likely entered a range trading phase and is expected to trade between 7.2400 and 7.2900 for the time being.' The subsequent strong advance indicates there is potential for USD to rise to 7.3250. The upside risk will remain intact as long as USD does not break below the ‘strong support’ level, currently at 7.2600."

Feb 28, 2025

USD/JPY: Downward momentum is slowing – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a 148.80/150.20 range.
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Feb 28, 2025

BOJ to hike policy rate to 1.00% over the next two years – BBH

USD/JPY rallied above 150.00, BBH's FX analysts report. BoJ normalization cycle to continue "Tokyo February CPI inflation cools more than anticipated and supports the case for a gradual Bank of Japan normalization cycle.
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