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      15 Feb 2013

      Forex: USD/JPY bouncing off lows, around 92.65

      The Japanese yen is extending its appreciation against the greenback on Friday, trading in the 92.60/65 region after bottoming in the proximities of 92.20, as risk aversion is pushing higher.

      Against the backdrop of the G20 meeting, Sean Callow, analyst Westpac, commented, “A draft communiqué said the G20 would commit to avoid FX rate “misalignment”. The commentary on sidelines will be watched closely, particularly on JPY and to a lesser extent EUR. Officials from France, Germany, S Korea and Canada have all mentioned “concerns” of varying degrees since the yen sell-off accelerated”.

      At the moment, the cross is losing 0.19% at 92.71 with the next support at 92.22 (low Feb.15) ahead of 92.17 (low Feb.8) and finally 91.96 (low Feb.5).
      On the flip side, a break above 93.12 (high Feb.15) would open the door to 93.72 (high Feb.14) and then the psychological mark at 94.00
      Feb 15, 2013

      Forex Flash: Europe trend growth below "Great Moderation" – Merrill Lynch

      After running several scenarios (one hypotheses on the speed at which investment recovers and whether it can reach pre-crisis levels; and another taking into account the impact of higher unemployment (and the capacity to reduce it), demographics and the quality of education) and looking at the fundamentals behind an economy’s capacity to grow (investment in physical and human capital, and the ability to innovate and embed innovation into business) and capacity to innovate, the overall result is that the capacity to grow (trend growth) remains below that observed during the “Great Moderation” (1995-07), according to BofA Merrill Lynch analysts.
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      Feb 15, 2013

      Forex: EUR/USD pressured, looks at 1.3300

      After testing yesterday's low of 1.3316 as the European session opened, and keepin steady at 1.3320/40 range for most of the morning, the EUR/USD has just returned to the downside and went as low as 1.3307 ahead of the US session.
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