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      18 Feb 2013

      Forex: EUR/USD in sharp rally little after EMU data

      Pressured on the European opening to as low as 1.3322, the EUR/USD is surprising everyone with a quick and sharp rally from below 1.3340 to as 1.3380, for now. Extreme volatility in a day with an empty calendar and the US and Canada off on holidays.

      The EUR/USD erased all its daily losses and is now edging higher on Monday. The Bank of Spain updated its bad bank loans information, indicating an improvement from 11.4% to 10.4% in December.

      Seasonally adjusted current account in the Eurozone shows a narrower surplus from €15.9B (revised from €14.8B) to €13.9B in December, still higher than the expected €13.9B. Non-adjusted data widened from €20.8B (revised from €19.8B) to €27B, coming lower than the expected €30B.

      "The outlook here is still bearish as the pair is heading for a tight test of 1.3260 major support", wrote Deltastock.com analyst Stoyan Mihaylov, favoring a reversal around the mentioned level to signal, that the whole corrective pattern since 1.3710 is over. "Key resistance on the upside is 1.3425"; he added.
      Feb 18, 2013

      Forex Flash: GBP Positioning Shifts to Net Short - Nomura

      Looking at last weeks IMM data, Nomura Strategists note that net long positions in the Euro decreased substantially last week, after four straight weeks of buying, as comments from policymakers including Draghi brought attention to growth concerns stemming from EUR strength.
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      Feb 18, 2013

      Forex Flash: USD/JPY may shrug off downside probes post G20 - OCBC Bank

      Emmanuel Ng of OCBC Bank notes that post G20, USD/JPY may continue to reject strong downside probes ahead of the probable announcement of the next BOJ governor with topside resistance expected at 95.00 and then at 95.35.
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