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18 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: Asia Carry and spread Z-score - Nomura

Nomura FX Strategists Wee Choon Teo and Craig Chan note that the meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bankers concluded over the weekend with a pledge to refrain from competitive devaluation but avoided a specific mention of the recent JPY depreciation.

They comment that Prime Minister Abe remained steadfast in his push for aggressive BOJ easing with his latest comment suggesting that foreign bond buying and measures to directly affect the stock market could be among the future courses of action for the BOJ. They write, “We re-positioned our Asia FX portfolio to capture the more idiosyncratic strengths and weaknesses within the region, and avoided those currencies which appear more exposed to JPY depreciation. The Asia FX forwards markets have also seen corresponding shifts in the appreciation / depreciation priced into their curves. The highlights that see across Asia FX are USD/PHP, USD/MYR & USD/TRW.
Feb 18, 2013

USD bulls eyeing 81.00 and beyond

The greenback, measured by the US Dollar index, has reverted to its negative trend at the beginning of February when it dipped to sub 79.00 levels, climbing since to today’s highs in levels shy....
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Feb 18, 2013

Forex Flash: GBP/USD may rebound to 1.5575 today - Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts are targeting 1.5271/35 (2012 low) this week, after having sold off and broken below the 1.5642 2009-2013 uptrend. "This is also the 50% retracement of the move since 2009 located here. This will be a key magnet for price and we would expect it to hold the initial test", wrote analyst Karen Jones, pointing out that only above 1.5728 would the pair alleviate immediate downside pressure for recovery towards the 200 day ma at 1.5865. "For today we would allow for a tiny rebound, and look for this to terminate circa 1.5575", Jones added.
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