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21 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: EUR/USD potential downside in the short-term – Danske Bank

The bloc currency continues to grind lower on Thursday, dragged by Wednesday’s FOMC minutes and today’s worrisome prints from the manufacturing/service PMIs to sub 1.3200 levels ahead of the NA session.

Morten Helt, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, believes that is still too soon to call an end to the recent euro upside, however, in the shorter horizon, the situation may be different.

“In the near term, EUR/USD risks are probably skewed the down side as i) speculation of an early exit from QE, ii) the automatic spending cuts, the so-called sequester, kicks in on 1 March and iii) the threat of a potential government shutdown by 27 March are factors that are likely to reduce investor’s risk appetite and weigh on EUR/USD”, concludes the expert.
Feb 21, 2013

Forex Flash: Eurozone remains optimistic despite reform challenges – Goldman Sachs

According to the Economics Research Team at Goldman Sachs, “Our analysis has highlighted the potential medium-term benefits of successful structural reform. Implementing such reform may be politically challenging, notwithstanding its economic benefits. However, our results suggest that, somewhat paradoxically, the present context gives the Euro area periphery as good a window of opportunity as previous episodes of success to undertake structural reforms and support the real exchange rate adjustments that are still needed. The climate of economic and political difficulty reinforces the need for reform and creates the pressure to undertake difficult changes.”
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Feb 21, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD serious technical damage is being inflicted - BBH

After the slump seen in EUR/USD within the last days, the BBH analyst team notes that "serious technical damage" is being inflicted.
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