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22 Feb 2013

Forex: GBP/USD consolidates below 1.5300

The sterling remains sidelined below the key resistance at 1.5300 on Friday, as the lack of direction is prevailing in the global markets so far.

In the view of Alistair Cotton, Senior Analyst at Currencies Direct, the current levels reflect the worse case scenario for the pound, but he remarks, “However this is a good thing for the currency in the medium term because the situation is not as bad as the market is reflecting and positive data flow, when it comes, will lift the currency. Furthermore, a lower currency does offer opportunities for British businesses to expand into new markets as British goods become cheaper and a recovering UK economy should keep demand steady at home”.

GBP/USD is now gaining 0.07% at 1.5266 facing the next resistance at 1.5452 (MA10d) ahead of 1.5544 (high Feb.14) and then 1.5550 (high Feb.15).
On the flip side, a breach of 1.5243 (hourly low Feb.22) would bring 1.5236 (Lower Bollinger) and finally 1.5130 (low Feb.21).
Feb 22, 2013

Forex Flash: Italian election captures weekend spotlight – Deutsche Bank

The marquee event this weekend will be the Italian elections – voting runs from Sunday to Monday at 14:00 (GMT), with early exit polls coming out soon after. The key numbers to look out for will be how the parties stack up towards the 158 seats needed for a majority in the Senate. Since the last polls were published on February 8, there are some unconfirmed reports that suggest the centre-right's momentum seems to have tailed off somewhat, with reports that the populist Five Star Movement has apparently been gaining ground.
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Feb 22, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD under 1.3200 ahead of NY money

The EUR/USD took a hit at 1.3200, falling rapidly to 1.3158 low as the ECB informed that the next LTRO repayment would be about half of what was expected: €61.1 billion instead of €122.5 billion. Since then, the market has been digesting its new found position below the 1.3200 mark and the newly printed February low at 1.3158.
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