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      10 Feb 2016

      USD/CAD extends recovery above 1.39, ignores Oil rebound

      The Canadian dollar loses ground once again and fails to benefit from the oil price rebound seen in the Asian trades, sending USD/CAD to fresh session highs above 1.39 handle.

      USD/CAD testing hourly 200-SMA

      Currently, the USD/CAD pair rises 0.30% to 1.3910, retreating from fresh session highs reached at 1.3915, where the hourly 200-SMA intersects. The USD/CAD pair extends its recovery mode into Asia mainly on the back of correction after the pair dropped sharply to 1.3785 region on Tuesday.

      Moreover, the greenback halted the selling spiral against its major rivals, which also aided the recovery in USD/CAD. While the commodity-currency completely ignored the rebound in the black gold after an almost 6% drop witnessed in the last US session. Both crude benchmarks are seen rebounding over 2% so far this session.

      In the day ahead, amid a lack of significant economic updates from North America, focus will remain on the Yellen’s testimony and the EIA weekly stockpiles report for further momentum on the pair.

      USD/CAD Technical Levels

      To the upside, the next resistances are seen near 1.3961/80 (Feb 9 & 8 High) and 1.4000 (round number). To the downside, immediate support might be located at 1.3878/77 (1h 20-SMA/ daily pivot) and below that 1.3836 (1h 100-SMA).
      Feb 10, 2016

      Yellen’s testimony: Constructive view clouded by recent developments - Unicredit

      Dr. Harm Bandholz, Research Analyst at Unicredit, suggests that the Fed Chair Yellen will deliver her semi-annual Monetary Policy Report starting today and they expect her to reiterate that further policy normalization is in the pipeline.
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      Feb 10, 2016

      Yellen’s congressional testimony preview - Nomura

      Research Team at Nomura, suggests that on Wednesday and Thursday, Federal Reserve Chair Yellen will deliver her semiannual report on monetary policy in testimony before the House Financial Services Committee and the Senate Banking Committee.
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