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6 Mar 2013

Forex: USD/CAD retreats from highs, around 1.0310/15

The Canadian dollar is picking up pace at the moment, leaving intraday lows against the greenback in the doorsteps of 1.0340 and dragging the cross to the current area of 1.0310/15

Renewed weakness orbiting around the CAD came from a dovish statement by the BoC after leaving intact the lending benchmark at 1.0%, broadly in line with consensus. A later contraction of the Ivey PMI during February added to the bearishness.

USD/CAD is now up 0.46% at 1.0316 facing the next hurdle at 1.0343 (2013 high Mar.1) followed by 1.0363 (high Jun.28 2012).
On the flip side, a drop below 1.0255 (low Mar.6) would bring 1.0217 (low Feb.28) and finally 1.0206 (low Feb.25).
Mar 6, 2013

Forex Flash: Increased flows into US assets need to justify deficit – ANZ

With the US current account deficit being almost entirely funded by Treasury flows in recent years, the USD has been among the largest beneficiaries of the dive into fixed income since 2008. Certainly there has been some ‘diversification’ into other countries’ bond markets, but we cannot recall another individual case where fixed income flows have been such a dominant part of the capital account. However, “With the external deficit still wide, flows into risky assets in the US (equities, corporate bonds and government corporate bonds) would need to return to pre-crisis levels, or even tech-boom type levels, to justify a risk-on style broad dollar rally.” suggests the ANZ Research Team.
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Mar 6, 2013

Forex: AUD/USD erases daily gains

The Australian dollar came under pressure during the New York session and surrendered all gains versus the dollar as risk appetite receded.
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