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      12 Mar 2013

      Forex Flash: AUD/USD 1.0340/75 key zone to move higher - JPM

      Following a positive start in Shanghai, AUD/USD has printed fresh 2-week highs at 1.0313 running some stops, though now retraces off those highs last at 1.0286 as Shanghai turns into the negative, down -0.75% at this point, near session lows.

      According to John Normand at JP Morgan Global FX Strategy “Last week’s price action for AUD/USD was a clear disappointment,” the analyst says, adding: “Despite holding a number of key support levels amid an oversold and diverging momentum setup, the reversals from Monday’s lows failed to extend above key resistance levels. In turn, the short term setup continues to deteriorate against the USD.”

      “The 1.0340/75 zone is the key test for AUD/USD with breaks improving the short term setup,” John concludes.
      Mar 12, 2013

      Forex: EUR/USD frozen around 1.3030

      EUR/USD is not moving much at the moment, flat for the session so far, last at 1.3036, near session highs, and off session lows at 1.3025. Euro is weaker against AUD, printing fresh 6-week lows at 1.2636 EUR/AUD, while local share markets are showing mixed signs, with ASX and Kospi slightly in the negative, while Nikkei, Hang-Seng and Shanghai are above +0.5%. EUR/USD is up a tiny +0.26% so far for the week.
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      Mar 12, 2013

      Forex Flash: Sell AUD/NZD rallies on RBA/RBNZ risks - UBS

      The Reserve Bank of New Zealand meets on March 13, and according to UBS economics, "the official
      cash interest rate is set to remain unchanged at 2.5%, with the key areas of interest in the statement will be discussion of
      the 'over-valued' NZ dollar and house price inflation/household credit that the central bank is 'watching closely'" they say. The bank still expects the next move "as being a hike for the RBNZ" UBS notes.
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