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14 Mar 2013

Forex: GBP/USD breaches above 1.5000

The GBP/USD was limited by 1.4950 on the upside during the London morning, but after the US data load the market breached that resistance and has popped above the 1.5000 psychological level, reaching as high as 1.5019 as of writing.

The US current account deficit narrowed from $-112.4B to $-110.4B in Q4, beating the $-112.80B consensus. However, Q3 data was revised much higher from $107.51.

In the week ending at March 10 week, initial jobless claims dropped from 342K (revised from 340K) to 332K, against a market consensus pointing to 350K. Continuing claims rose from 3.113M to 3.024M, better than the expected 3.100M.

As expected, the US Producer Price Index rose 0.7% (previously at 0.2%) (MoM) and 1.7% (previously at 1.4%) (YoY) in February. Excluding food and energy, data eased from 1.8% to 1.7% (YoY), with a monthly rise of 0.2%.

"The GBP/USD currency pair finished the first ascending wave. I think today the price may complete the correction towards the level of 1.4900", wrote Roboforex.com analyst Igor Sayadov, pointing to a new ascending structure to reach the level of 1.5040 and then a move towards the target at 1.5100.
Mar 14, 2013

Commodities Brief – Precious metals pare losses after US PPI, crude moves towards 93.00 barrier

Gold prices today received a boost following the release of US data, which showed a recovery in the labor market coupled with inflation that was in line with expectations. Amidst this release the yellow metal pared most of its daily losses, recovering to the mark of USD $1586.11 per oz. in these moments – previously gold had traded as low as 1578 during European trading. With inflation still at manageable levels, it appears as though any substantial gold outbreak will be sidelined for now.
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Mar 14, 2013

Forex Flash: Eurozone growth expected to rebound in 2014 despite austerity – Goldman Sachs

For the Euro area as a whole, we expect a continued contraction, by -0.5% in 2013, before a return to positive growth of +0.8% in 2014. According to the Economics Research Team at Goldman Sachs, “Our baseline is still that the Euro area will ‘muddle through’ but remain intact. Cross-country divergence remains a key theme in this baseline scenario, however, with economic weakness especially pronounced in Spain and Italy.”
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