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6 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: US markets rebound yesterday on upbeat data and Dell – Deutsche Bank

Yesterday, better-than-expected services sector data across both North America and Europe and Dell's announcement that it had agreed to be taken private fuelled a +1.4% rally in Tech stocks yesterday which lifted the S&P500 +1.04% higher on the day to almost recover from the previous day's losses.

In particular, “Dell's $24.0B transaction, which is being billed as the largest LBO since the financial crisis, has obviously reignited chatter about the return of jumbo LBOs to the US market. However, we should point out a couple of nuances to the transaction which make this not your typical LBO including the heavy support of Michael Dell himself who is the founder, CEO and a leading shareholder as well as assistance from Microsoft who will tip in with a hefty $2.0B loan in order to support the long term success of the entire PC ecosystem. Nevertheless, there's no doubt the transaction will be used as a positive for equities and yesterday's moves in tech stocks was a reflection of this.” Notes the Macro Strategy Analysts J. Reid and C. Tan at Deutsche Bank.

In addition, market sentiment was also encouraged by what was a fairly good day for corporate earnings. 27 S&P500 companies reported yesterday with over 70% beating EPS expectations, and two-thirds of companies topping revenue estimates - consistent with the overall ratios for this quarter's US reporting season.
Feb 6, 2013

EMU: Retail Sales drop more than expected in December

On an annual basis Eurozone Retail Sales fell for the 20th running month by 3.4% in December, following -1.9% according to data released today by Eurostat. Analysts expected less decline of -1.1%.
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Feb 6, 2013

Forex Flash: More USD/JPY rally if new BoJ Governor antecipates bond purchases - Commerzbank

Having decided to step down from office three weeks earlier than original expected, BoJ Governor Masaaki Shirakawa triggered more weakness of the Yen. “The fact that even this news managed to put pressure on JPY suggests how cautious the market is”, wrote analyst Lutz Karpowitz, adding that “speculation about his successor is likely to now take off”.
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