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10 Nov 2017

USD/JPY drops to session lows near 113.20 on weakening USD

  • Consumer confidence data from the U.S. fails to meet market estimates.
  • DXY refreshes weekly lows as it falls toward the 94 handle.
  • US stocks extend their losses for the second day.

The USD/JPY pair came under pressure in the NA session and dropped to a fresh daily low at 113.22. At the moment, the pair is trading at 113.26, losing 0.2%, or 20 pips, on the day.

Dismal consumer sentiment data weighs on the greenback

The University of Michigan's Index of Consumer Sentiment eased to 97.8 in its first reading of November from 100.7 and missed the market expectation of 100.7. The report highlighted that although the expected Fed rate hikes seem to be the right preemptive action, the critical issue is whether income gains will be sufficient to outweigh rate hikes in home and vehicle purchase decisions. On a positive note, the details of the report showed that the labor market continued to improve with anticipated wage gains rising to their highest level in nearly ten years. Nevertheless, the US Dollar Index plummeted to 94.15 after the data and was last seen at 94.19, where it was down 0.25% on the day.

  • US: Consumer sentiment declined slightly in early November - UoM

In the meantime, major equity indexes in the U.S. started the day lower amid tax plan jitters, pointing to a weak market sentiment, which ramps up the demand for the safe-haven JPY. At the moment, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 are losing 0.25% and 0.35% respectively. 

Despite this recent fall, however, the pair is likely to trade quietly in the remainder of the session as banks and the bond market closed in the United States in observance of Veterans Day.

  • USD/JPY: Tightening in the daily volatility - Natixis

Technical levels to consider

The immediate support for the pair aligns at 113.10 (Nov. 9 low) ahead of 112.75 (50-DMA) and 112.10 (Oct. 18 low). On the upside, resistances could be seen at 113.70 (daily high/20-DMA), 114.35 (Nov. 7 high) and 114 (psychological level).

Nov 10, 2017

US: Consumer sentiment declined slightly in early November - UoM

"Consumer sentiment declined slightly in early November due to widespread losses across current and expected economic conditions," the University of M
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Nov 10, 2017

Fitch affirms Brazil at 'BB'; outlook negative

"Fitch Ratings has affirmed Brazil's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'BB' with a Negative Outlook," Fitch Ratings announced
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