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Forex: USD/JPY eases on US session

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Greenback strength arrived after a first test to the 94.00 psychological level during the European opening, allowing a return to the daily high of 94.45 where it keeps finding resistance. The NY opening saw the USD/JPY easing to 94.15 area. US data is out and being digested. Apart from the Durable Goods Orders headline, data came in disappointing to investors. The US Department of Treasury will soon be selling 4-week and 2-year debt.

US consumer confidence fell from 68.0 (revised from 69.6) to 59.7 in March (consensus of 68.0), while New Home Sales dropped from 0.431M (revised from 0.437M) to 0.411M (consensus of 0.422M). Richmond Fed manufacturing was also a disappointment, at 3 (from 6, consensus of 8). US S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices rose from 6.8% to 8.1% in January, beating the 7.9% consensus.

Earlier, US Durable Goods Orders rose 5.7% in February, beating consensus of 3.8%. January data was revised higher from -4.9% to -3.8%. Excluding transportation, durable goods orders dropped -0.5%, disappointing expectations of +0.5%, but saw its January print being revised higher from 2.3% to 2.9%. The ex-transportation print at -0.5% was the first negative one in five months.

“Current rebound after 93.52 low is corrective in nature, thus preceding one more leg downwards, to 92.80 area”, wrote Deltastock.com analyst Stoyan MIhaylov, pointing to initial intraday resistance at 94.50, followed by the crucial area at 95.00.

Forex Flash: Can currency markets withstand a corrective phase? – UBS

Given the return in Eurozone stress however, the US will be tested further in how it will be able to generate enough momentum with greater external headwinds. According to Gareth Berry, a Research Analyst at UBS, “We continue to stress that data surprises for the US remain exceedingly strong, and it remains if markets can withstand a corrective phase. However, we note that even if this is not the case, the damage will likely be mostly felt in equities rather than the dollar.”
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Forex Flash: Volume may drop after Dijsselbloem's comments - BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman analysts note that many participants are still trying to digest the meaning of Dijsselbloem's comments yesterday and also may be deterred from taking fresh positions due to month/quarter and fiscal year end.
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