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2 Apr 2013

Forex: AUD/USD keeps the positive around 1.0455/60

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The Aussie dollar is extending its upbeat mood hovering over 1.0455/60 on Tuesday, correcting lower after reaching intraday highs in the boundaries of 1.0480 overnight.

Recall that the RBA left unchanged its lending benchmark at 3.0%, broadly in line with market consensus. In the view of S.Papadopoulos, Senior Economist at NAB, “They remain confident that the substantial easing of policy over the past 18 months is having an expansionary effect on the economy, with further positive effects still to come… With the peak in resource investment ‘drawing close’, the RBA acknowledges that the near-term outlook for non-mining investment is subdued, credit growth is still weak and the AUD remains high… We maintain our view that the RBA will need to cut again and see the most likely timing as June”.

At the moment, the cross is up 0.31% at 1.0454 facing the next hurdle at 1.0497 (high Mar.27) followed by 1.0555 (high Jan.24) and then 1.0560 (hourly high/lows Jan.23).
On the downside, a break below 1.0426 (MA10d) would bring 1.0410 (Daily Cloud Top) and finally 1.0386 (low Apr.1).
Apr 2, 2013

Forex: USD/CHF pressured ahead of Swiss PMI

The USD/CHF failed to hold at 0.9470 area and eased throughout the Asian session to 0.9444 low, allowing then a rebound ahead of the European shift. The pair got back to its opening price at 0.9465 ahead of Switzerland PMI by SVME, with market consensus suggesting a drop in the expansionary pace, from 50.8 to 50.2 in March.
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Apr 2, 2013

Forex Flash: EUR/USD on course for 1.2679/61 - Commerzbank

The EUR/USD maintains a negative bias after consolidating below its 200-day MA in the past few days. “It remains on course for 1.2679/61, this is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the July-to-January rise and the November 2012 low meet. We would allow this to hold the initial test and allow for some profit taking here”, wrote analyst Karen Jones, pointing to a directly offered market while below the 1.2949 resistance line. “Longer term we target the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at 1.2400 and then 1.2042, the 2012 low. The 1.2949 resistance line guards last week’s high at 1.3050 which in turn guards 1.3100/80 – while capped here a negative bias is entrenched”, he added.
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