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4 Apr 2013

Forex Flash: USD/JPY risk skewed to the downside - Westpac

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The first Bank of Japan Policy Board meeting under Haruhiko Kuroda supervision has no fixed time for the announcement, says Westpac FX strategist Sean Callow, who adds that if last three meetings are of any indication, "all finished in the range 12:24 – 12:47pm Tokyo time, so we will stand by from about 2pm Syd/11am Sing/HK."

Sean notes: "Like many forecasters, Westpac looks for the BoJ to bring forward its open-ended asset purchases from Jan 2014 to Apr/May, to extend the maturity of its JGB purchases, drop the so-called ‘banknote rule’ (JGB holdings don’t exceed banknotes in circulation) and combine the asset purchase program with the ‘rinban’ JGB purchases. They may not specify the exact monthly APP total per month as the portfolio is adjusted."

Kuroda has a scheduled press conference at 5:30pm Syd/2:30pm Sing/HK , Sean says, "though this is not yet confirmed." Westpac baseline view "remains that risks on USD/JPY are skewed to the downside given sky high expectations" Mr. Callow adds.
Apr 4, 2013

Forex: AUD/USD higher on better data than expected

AUD/USD advances to fresh weekly highs at 1.0498 from previous session lows at 1.0450 when latest data in Australia has been released. The pair trades last at 1.0478, off mentioned high. The recent session high is about the same as yesterday's previous weekly high printed in early NY session, what so far forms a double high for the week.
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Apr 4, 2013

Commodities Brief: Gold to fresh 10-month lows sub $1550

Gold is currently trading at fresh 10-month lows $1542 in the spot market, catching up with latest Silver selling off, and back to its natural inverse correlation with USD. The precious metal is down -3.2% for the week so far, one of the worst weeks in last months. Gold-Silver ratio jumped yesterday to fresh 8-month highs shy of the 59 mark, but it has eased today to 57.7 as Gold played catch up with Silver.
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