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      5 Apr 2013

      Forex Flash: BoJ edges Fed in monetary aggression – Deutsche Bank

      FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - In Dollar terms (using current spot FX rate), Japan's plan is to buy about $72bn in assets per month (JPY 7trillion using current spot rate), or about $864bn a year. By comparison, the Fed is purchasing about $1 Trillion a year ($85/month x 12) at the moment.

      We can also compare this with their respective GDP. Annual US GDP is around $15Trillion and Japan's around $5.9Trillion so annual purchases by the Fed and BOJ are about 6.8% and 15% of their respective annual GDP. According to Macro Strategy Analysts J. Reid and C. Tan at Deutsche Bank, “Thus, the BoJ are arguably being more aggressive than the Fed at a time when many analysts are trying to work out when the Fed slows or stops purchases this year.”

      The scale of yesterday's move surprised the market with its scale and the Nikkei (+3.4%) is moving sharply higher again overnight and is now an impressive 6% higher from the pre-BOJ levels yesterday.
      Apr 5, 2013

      Forex Flash: Canada employment to fall by 20K in March instead of the +8.5K consensus – TD Securities

      Besides of the US nonfarm payrolls report, the economic calendar will have interesting indicators for the CAD, including employment data: “The chasm between the labour market and the wider economy reached an extreme level in February with the creation of +51K jobs. With real GDP growth mired well below its trend rate—Q1 is tracking around 1.5%—we are due for some payback and expect -20K in March (consensus +6.5K)”, wrote TD Securities analysts, forecasting the unemployment rate to edge higher from its cyclical low of 7.0% to 7.1%.
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      Apr 5, 2013

      Forex: EUR/USD eyes 1.2950 ahead of NFP

      The single currency is attempting a rebound to the area of 1.2950 on Friday, ahead of the NFP and the jobless rate in the US economy. It is worth noting that prior surveys expect the Payrolls to...
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