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15 Apr 2013

Forex: EUR/AUD above 1.2550 after EMU trade balance

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The EUR/AUD made a 100-pip jump to 1.2550 high on China’s disappointing GDP and industrial production figures which put pressure on a commodity currency such as the Aussie. After a profit taking move to 1.2513, the cross is back at its highs and looking for an extension on the publication of EMU trade balance data. The seasonally adjusted trade surplus widened from €9.0B to €12B in February, beating the €9.9B consensus, while the non-seasonally adjusted figure moved from €-4.7B (revised from €-3.9B) to €10.4B, coming higher than the €3.0B consensus.

China GDP data eased from 7.9% to 7.7% (consensus of 8.0%) in Q1 (YoY), while QoQ data came in at 1.6% (consensus of 1.9%). Also, Chinese urban investment (down from 21.2% to 20.9% vs 21.3% consensus) and industrial production (down from 9.9% to 8.9% vs 10% consensus) in March didn’t help the mood, unlike China retail sales that rose from 12.3% to 12.6%, against expectations of 12.5%.

In Australia, housing finance rose by +2% in February, above consensus of 1.6% and increased across the existing and new property sectors. Investment loans also increased for two consecutive months, this time by 1.8%.

Mataf.net analysts point to resistance at 1.2550, 1.2580 and 1.2620. On the downside, supports might be found at 1.2490, 1.2450 and 1.2385.
Apr 15, 2013

Forex: EUR/JPY stays above 128.00 after EMU trade data

The EUR/JPY printed its lowest price on the day at 127.56 during the Asian session, as the Yen resumes its corrective movement from the rally to 131.13 high on BoJ easing. The European morning allowed a move back to 128.00 area and to as high as 128.65. Just before the release of EMU trade balance the cross retested the 128.00 line, which is holding.
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Apr 15, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD rebounds after EMU trade data

The single currency regained the area around 1.3075/80 after the trade surplus in the euro area for the month of February widened to €10.4 billion from January’s deficit of €4.7 billion (revised)....
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