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30 Jul 2019

When is the German Prelim CPI and how could it affect EUR/USD?

German Prelim CPI Overview

Today's Eurozone economic docket highlights the release of Harmonized German prelim CPI data, up for release later this session at 1200 GMT. The headline CPI is expected to come in slightly firmer at 0.5% m/m and the yearly rate is expected to tick lower to 1.3% in July from 1.5% previous. 

The rebound in Germany's regional CPIs released earlier today point to a mixed picture of the harmonized German CPI readings due to be reported later today. In Hesse, MoM inflation for the month of July arrived at +0.5%, versus +0.1% prev. Meanwhile, in Bavaria, the July inflation came in at +0.3% MoM versus +0.4% last. In Saxony, July inflation MoM ticked lower to +0.4% versus +0.5% previous, while Brandenburg’s came in at +0.3% MoM vs. +0.5% prior. North Rhine Westphalia July CPI arrived at+0.4% MoM vs. +0.2% prior.

How could it affect EUR/USD?

FXStreet’s Analyst Yohay Elam offered key technical levels for trading EUR/USD on the CPI release: “Some resistance awaits at 1.1150 which has capped the pair this week. Above 1.1170, resistance awaits at Thursday's post-ECB peak of 1.1190. Next, we find 1.1240.” 

“Some support awaits at 1.1125, which was a swing low last week. It is followed by the double-bottom of 1.1111 and by the 2019 trough of 1.1101,” he adds further.

Key Notes

German inflation amongst market movers today – Danske Bank

EUR/USD off lows, re-takes 1.1150 ahead of German CPI

EUR/GBP recedes from 2019 peaks near 0.9200

About the German Prelim CPI

The Germany consumer price index released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland measures the average price change for all goods and services purchased by households for consumption purposes. CPI is the main indicator to measure inflation and changes in purchasing trends. A high reading is positive (or Bullish) for the EUR, while a low reading is negative (or bearish).

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