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12 Feb 2013

Forex Flash: USD/JPY has a strong rebound off 240 minute cloud – Commerzbank

Karen Jones, Head of Technical Analysis at Commerzbank notes that USD/JPY had a strong rebound off the 240 minute cloud.

She writes, “USD/JPY eased back to its 240 minute cloud and saw a strong rebound. It is possible that this is the only correction that we will see, however the intraday Elliott wave count is indicating a deeper retracement to 91.40 and possibly 89.55 is likely prior to another leg higher. We also note that the daily RSI has not confirmed the new high. The 240 minute cloud is located currently at 92.18/71.”

She notes that the market has recently met its target of 93.32/96 - the 38.2% retracement of the move down from 2007 and she is wary of a small retracement towards trend line supports. Overhead she notes the 2010 high at 94.99 then the March 2009 spike low at 95.77. Jones feels that the market will find some support at the 20 day ma at 91.40 and the 2 month up channel at 90.66, while above here the market will remain immediately bid. She writes, “This support is reinforced by the 88.79 4 month up trend.”
Feb 12, 2013

Forex Flash: G20 won’t criticise Japan, Europe won’t get a currency policy – Societe Generale

Kit Juckes, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Societe Generale feels that it would have been very unfair for Japan to be accused of currency manipulation as the government tries to help the economy to escape the clutches of a vicious deflationary cycle.
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Feb 12, 2013

Forex: EUR/USD hovering over 1.3375/80

The sentiment surrounding the bloc currency remains depressed on Tuesday, as market participants would be closely watching the short term Spanish auction of 6m and 12m Letras due...
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